NVE har gjennomført flere FoU-prosjekter om konsekvensene av klimaendringer på vannressursene globalt, regionalt og i Norge.

Prosjektenes formål:

  • Beskrive langtidsvariabiliteten i hydrologi og kryosfæren i Norge, basert på lange måleserier.
  • Utarbeide fremskrivninger for Norges hydrologi, basert på klimafremskrivninger.
  • Vurdere fremtidige endringer i flom og tørke.


En samlet oversikt over den historiske endringen i klima og hydrologi, utviklingen i nær fortid og fremtid og forventede klima- og hydrologiske endringer i fremtiden finner du i rapporten Klima i Norge 2100:

Hanssen-Bauer, I., Førland, E.J., Haddeland, I., Hisdal, H., Mayer S., Nesje, A., Nilsen, J.E.Ø., Sandven, S., Sandø, A.B., Sorteberg, A. & Ådlandsvik B. (Red.) (2015) Klima i Norge 2100. Kunnskapsgrunnlag for klimatilpasning oppdatert i 2015. NCCS report no. 2/2015.

Oversikt over publikasjoner i siste 5 år:

2016

Steen, R. & Andersen, D. (2016) Klimatilpasning i energiforsyningen. NVE rapport 76-2016, 27 pp.

Hanssen-Bauer, I., Hisdal, H. & Mayer, S. (2016) Norges klimafremtid: Varmere og enda våtere. Naturen, 1, 12–20, doi:10.18261/ issn.1504–3118–2016–01–03. 

Li, H., Xu, C.-Y., Beldring, S., Tallaksen, L.M. & Jain, S.K. (2016) Water resources under climate change in Himalayan basins. Water Resources Management, 30, 843–859, doi:10.1007/s11269-015-1194-5.

Vormoor, K., Lawrence, D., Schlichting, L., Wilson, D. & Wong, W.K. (2016) Evidence for changes in the magnitude and frequency of observed rainfall vs. snowmelt driven floods in Norway. Journal of Hydrology, 538, 33–48, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.03.066.

2015

Beisland, C.S., Birkelund, H., Endresen, H., Haddeland, I. & Vik, M.A. (2015) Et væravhengig kraftsystem - og et klima i endring. NVE Rapport 85-2015, 16 pp.

Engelhardt, M., Schuler, T.V. & Andreassen, L.M. (2015) Sensitivities of glacier mass balance and runoff to climate perturbations in Norway. Annals of Glaciology, 56 (70), 79–88, doi:10.3189/2015AoG70A004.

Fleig, A.K., Tallaksen, L.M., James, P., Hisdal, H. & Stahl, K. (2015) Attribution of European precipitation and temperature trends to changes in synoptic circulation. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 19, 30933107, doi:10.5194/hess-19-3093-2015.

Frieler, K., Levermann, A., Elliott, J., Heinke, J., Arneth, A., Bierkens, M.F.P., Ciais, P., Clark, D.B., Deryng, D., Döll, P., Falloon, P., Fekete, B., Folberth, C., Friend, A.D., Gellhorn, C., Gosling, S.N.,
Haddeland, I., Khabarov, N., Lomas, M., Masaki, Y., Nishina, K., Neumann, K., Oki, T., Pavlick, R., Ruane, A.C., Schmid, E., Schmitz, C., Stacke, T., Stehfest, E., Tang, Q., Wisser, D., Huber, V., Piontek, F., Warszawski, L., Schewe, J., Lotze-Campen, H. & Schellnhuber H.J. (2015) A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections: land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties. Earth System Dynamics6, 447–460, doi:10.5194/esd-6-447-2015.

Li, H., Beldring, S. & Xu, C-Y. (2015) Stability of model performance and parameter values on two catchments facing changes in climatic conditions. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 60 (7–8), 1317–1330. doi:10.1080/02626667.2014.978333.

Li, H., Beldring, S., Xu, C-Y., Huss, M., Melvold, K. & Jain, S.K. (2015) Integrating a glacier retreat model into a hydrological model – Case studies of three glacierised catchments in Norway and Himalayan region. Journal of Hydrology, 527, 656–667, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.05.017.

Mediero, L., Kjeldsen, T.R., Macdonald, N., Kohnova, S., Merz, B., Vorogushyn, S., Wilson, D., Alburquerque, T., Blöschl, G., Bogdanowicz, E., Castellarin, A., Hall, J., Kobold, M., Kriaučiūnienė, J., Lang, M., Madsen, H., Onuşluel Gül, G., Perdigão, R.A.P., Roald, L.A., Salinas, J.L., Toumazis, A.D., Veijalainen, N. & Þórarinsson, Ó. (2015) Identification of coherent flood regions across Europe by using the longest streamflow records. Journal of Hydrology, 528, 341–360, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.06.016.

Sunyer, M.A., Hundecha, Y., Lawrence, D., Madsen, H., Willems, P., Martinkova, M., Vormoor, K., Bürger, G., Hanel, M., Kriaučiūnienė, J., Loukas, A., Osuch, M. & Yücel, I. (2015) Intercomparison of statistical downscaling methods for projection of extreme precipitation in Europe. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 19, 1827–1847, doi:10.5194/hess-19-1827-2015.

Vormoor, K., Lawrence, D., Heistermann, M. & Bronstert, A. (2015). Climate change impacts on the seasonality and generation processes of floods – projections and uncertainties for catchments with mixed snowmelt/rainfall flood regimes. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 19, 913–931, doi:10.5194/hess-19-951-2015.

2014

Elliott, J., Deryng, D., Müller, C., Frieler, K., Konzmann, M., Gerten, D.,  Glotter, M., Flörke, M., Wada, Y., Best, N., Eisner, S., Fekete, B.M., Folberth, C., Foster, I., Gosling, S.N., Haddeland, I., Khabarov, N.,  Ludwig, F., Masaki, Y.,  Olin, S., Rosenzweig, C., Ruane, A.C., Satoh, Y., Schmid, E., Stacke, T., Tang, Q. & Wisser, D. (2014) Constraints and potentials of future irrigation water availability on global agricultural production under climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 111, 3239–3244, doi:10.1073/pnas.1222474110.

Haddeland, I., Heinke, J.,  Biemans, H., Eisner, S.,  Flörke, M.,   Hanasaki, N., Konzmann, M., Ludwig, F., Masaki, Y., Schewe, J., Stacke, T.,  Tessler, Z., Wada, Y. & Wisser, D. (2014) Global water resources affected by human interventions and climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 111, 3251–3256, doi:10.1073/pnas.1222475110.

Huber, V., Schellnhuber, H.J., Arnell, N.W., Frieler, K., Friend, A.D., Gerten, D., Haddeland, I., Kabat, P., Lotze-Campen, H., Lucht, W., Parry, M., Piontek, F., Rosenzweig, C., Schewe, J. & Warszawski, L. (2014) Climate Impacts Research: Beyond Patchwork. Earth System Dynamics, 5, 399–408, doi:10.5194/esd-5-399-2014.

Madsen, H., Lawrence, D., Lang, M., Martinkova, M. & Kjeldsen, T.R. (2014) Review of trend analysis and climate change projections for extreme precipitation and floods in Europe. Journal of Hydrology, 519, 36343650. doi:10.1016/j.hydrol.2014.11.003.

Nilsen, I.B., Fleig, A.K., Tallaksen, L.M. & Hisdal, H. (2014) Recent trends in monthly temperature and precipitation in Europe. In: Hydrology in a Changing World: Environmental and Human Dimensions. Proceedings of FRIEND-Water 2014, Montpellier, France, October 2014, IAHS Publication 363, 132137.

Schewe, J., Heinke, J.,  Gerten, D., Haddeland, I., Arnell N.W., Clark, D.B., Dankers, R.,  Eisner, S.,  Fekete, B.M., Colón-González, F.J., Gosling, S.N., Kim, H., Liu, X., Masaki, Y., Portmann, F.T., Satoh, Y., Stacke, T., Tang, Q.,  Wada, Y., Wisser, D., Albrecht, T., Frieler, K., Piontek, F., Warszawski, L. & Kabat, P. (2014) Multimodel assessment of water scarcity under climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 111, 3245–3250, doi:10.1073/pnas.1222460110.

Sorteberg, A., Haddeland, I., Haugen, J.E., Sobolowski, S. & Wong, W.K. (2014) Evaluation of distribution mapping based bias correction methods. NCCS report no. 1-2014, 23 pp.

Wilson, D., Hisdal, H. & Lawrence, D. (2014) Trends in floods in small Norwegian catchments – instantaneous vs. daily peaks. In: Hydrology in a Changing World: Environmental and Human Dimensions, Proceedings of FRIEND-Water 2014, Montpellier, France, October 2014, IAHS Publication 363, 4247.

2013

Fleig, A. K. (Ed.) Fleig, A.K., Andreassen, L.M., Barfod, E., Haga, J., Haugen, L.E., Hisdal, H., Melvold, K. & Saloranta, T. (2013) Norwegian Hydrological Reference Dataset for Climate Change Studies. NVE Report 2-2013, 80 pp.

Haddeland, I., Langsholt, E., Lawrence, D., Wong, W.K., Andjelic, M., Ivkovic, M. & Vujadinovic, M. (2013) Effects of climate change in the Kolubara and Toplica catchments, Serbia. NVE Report 62-2013, 60 pp.

Hagemann, S., Chen, C., Clark, D.B., Folwell, S., Gosling, S.N., Haddeland, I., Hanasaki, N., Heinke, J., Ludwig, F., Voss, F. & Wiltshire A.J. (2013) Climate change impact on available water resources obtained using multiple global climate and hydrology models. Earth System Dynamics, 4, 129–144, doi:10.5194/esd-4-129-2013.

Hisdal, H. & Lawrence, D. (2013) Flere og større flommer i framtiden. Klima 2-2013.

Roald, L.A. (2013) Flom i Norge. Forlaget Tom & Tom, Norge.

van Vliet, M.T.H., Yearsley, J.R., Franssen, W.H.P., Ludwig, F., Haddeland, I., Lettenmaier, D.P. & Kabat, P. (2013) Global River Discharge and Water Temperature under Climate Change. Global Environmental Change, 23, 450–464, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.11.002.

Wada, Y., Wisser D., Eisner S., Flörke, M., Gerten, D., Haddeland, I., Hanasaki, N., Masaki, Y.,  Portmann, F.T.H., Stacke, T., Tessler, Z. & Schewe J. (2013) Multimodel projections and uncertainties of irrigation water demand under climate change. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (17), 4626–4632, doi:10.1002/grl.50686.

2012

Brázdil, R., Kundzewicz, Z.W., Benito, G., Demarée, G., MacDonald, N. & Roald, L.A. (2012) Historical floods in Europe in the past millennium. In: Kundzewicz, Z.W. (Ed.): Change in flood risk in Europe. IAHS Special publications 10, 121–166, Wallingford, UK: IAHS Press. ISBN 978-1-907161-28-5.

Golombek, R., Kittelsen, S.A.C. & Haddeland, I. (2012) Climate change: impacts on electricity markets in Western Europe. Climatic Change, 113 (2), 357370, doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0348-6.

Haddeland, I., Heinke, J., Voß, F., Eisner, S., Chen, C., Hagemann, S. & Ludwig, F. (2012) Effects of climate model radiation, humidity and wind estimates on hydrological simulations. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 16, 305318, doi:10.5194/hess-16-305-2012.

Lawrence, D., Barthelmie, R., Crochet, P., Lindström, G., Kolcova, T., Kriauciuniené, J., Larsen, S., Pryor, S., Reihan, A., Roald, L.A., Tietäväinen, H. & Wilson, D. (2012), Analyses of hydroclimatological timeseries for the Nordic and Baltic regions. In: Thorsteinsson, Th. & Halldór, B. (Eds.): Climate Change and Energy Systems: Impact, Risks and Adaptation in the Nordic and Baltic countries. TemaNord 2011:501, 6790, Copenhagen, Denmark: Nordic Council of Ministers.

Lawrence, D., Graham, L.P., den Besten, J., Andréasson, J., Bergström, S., Engen-Skaugen, T., Førland, E., Groen, R., Jespersen, M., de Jong, K. & Olsson, J. (2012) Climate change impacts and uncertainties in flood risk management: Examples from the North Sea Region. NVE Rapport 5-2012, 62 pp.

Roald, L.A. (2012) Floods in Norway since 1900. In: Kundzewicz, Z.W.: Change in flood risk in Europe. IAHS Special publications 10, Wallingford, UK: IAHS Press.